6 tips to manage false positives and improve AML accuracy

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In the world of Anti-Money Laundering (AML) compliance, one challenge stands out as a persistent and costly drain on resources: false positives. For compliance leaders in regulated firms, managing these false alerts can feel like a never ending challenge, investigating, and closing cases that, more often than not, turn out to be dead ends. 

Left unchecked, false positives waste precious time, overwhelm compliance teams, and eat into budgets. They can also expose firms to regulatory scrutiny for either missing true positives or, conversely, over-reporting.

So, what’s the solution? While completely eliminating false positives is unrealistic, firms can dramatically improve their AML accuracy through a combination of strategic adjustments, technological enhancements, and refined processes. Below are some actionable tips to help you tame the flood of false positives and sharpen your AML defences.

1. Refine your Risk-Based Approach (RBA)

It’s a given that no two customers or transactions pose the same risk. That’s where a Risk-Based Approach (RBA) comes in – allowing firms to focus resources where they’re needed most. Yet, many compliance leaders fail to fully leverage their RBA for combatting false positives. It’s not just about meeting regulatory requirements, but fine-tuning your risk models to better understand customer behaviour.

Start by:

  • Segmenting your customer base: Use a data-driven approach to categorise customers by risk profiles – jurisdiction, industry, and transaction history. Not every low-value cross-border transaction is a red flag, so don’t treat it as one.
  • Customising scenarios: Instead of using generic parameters across the board, tailor your alert thresholds to different customer segments. A large transaction from a high-net-worth individual may be perfectly normal, but the same from a first-time buyer might warrant closer scrutiny.
  • Regularly reviewing risk parameters: Ensure your RBA isn’t static. Evolving geopolitical and economic conditions should influence your risk assessments. Use analytics to adjust your thresholds in real-time, accounting for shifting risks without increasing false positives.

2. Data quality: Garbage in, garbage out

It’s a rule as old as computing: if you feed bad data into a system, you’ll get bad results out. For AML systems, poor data quality can be the root cause of rampant false positives. Mistakes as simple as name misspellings, incomplete data, or outdated customer profiles can trigger unnecessary alerts.

To improve your data quality:

  • Implement robust data hygiene practices: Ensure customer data is accurate and regularly updated. Train front-line staff to capture information correctly at the onboarding stage, reducing the risk of future mismatches.
  • Enhance KYC and due diligence: Go beyond the minimum required for Know Your Customer (KYC) procedures. Use independent verification tools to cross-check data, filling in gaps that might lead to false alerts.
  • Centralise your data: Break down data silos across your organisation. A centralised data management system for compliance ensures all departments share the same, up-to-date information, preventing discrepancies that could set off false positives.

3. Customise your screening rules and profiles

Most AML systems rely on predefined rules to detect suspicious activity. If these rules aren’t carefully customised to your business, they can overwhelm your teams with false positives. Ongoing monitoring systems, for example, often use thresholds to flag unusual behaviour – but setting these thresholds too low or too broadly can result in an avalanche of unnecessary alerts.

Tips to fine-tune your rules:

  • Test and adjust regularly: Don’t set your parameters in stone. Test them periodically to ensure they’re aligned with the risk environment, making adjustments based on the latest intelligence, regulatory updates, and feedback from your team.
  • Monitor patterns over time: Rather than triggering alerts for one-off behaviours, focus on patterns over a specified period. This approach helps you avoid false positives triggered by anomalies that are actually legitimate.
  • Layer rules effectively: Don’t rely on a single rule to flag suspicious activity. Layer multiple rules, taking different variables into account, to refine your alerts.

4. Train your team well

Even the most sophisticated technology is only as good as the people behind it. A well-trained compliance team can use its expertise to differentiate between false positives and genuine risks. However, too often, teams rely solely on the systems at their disposal, missing opportunities to use human judgement.

Here’s how to empower your team:

  • Offer ongoing education: Regular training keeps your team informed about the latest AML trends, regulatory changes, and best practices for managing false positives. Create an environment where compliance staff feel confident in making judgement calls when necessary.
  • Encourage a feedback culture: When a false positive is identified, don’t just close the case and move on. Have your team provide feedback on why the alert was flagged and how similar cases should be handled in the future.
  • Foster collaboration: Encourage cross-functional collaboration between compliance teams, IT, and customer-facing staff. This ensures your front-line teams have the insights and tools they need to assess alerts more effectively.

5. Proactively engage with regulators 

False positives aren’t just a headache for compliance teams – they can also frustrate regulators. While firms worry about under-reporting, over-reporting can signal inefficiency and a lack of control. Proactively engaging with regulators about your false positive management strategy can be a game-changer.

What to consider:

  • Explain your process: Be transparent with regulators about how you manage false positives and the steps you’re taking to improve your accuracy. This helps build trust and signals that you’re on top of your compliance game.
  • Seek guidance: Regulators often issue guidance on best practices for AML and financial crime prevention. Use this to shape your internal policies and processes, ensuring you’re not just meeting, but exceeding expectations.

6. Use metrics to drive improvement

What gets measured gets managed. To stay ahead of false positives, regularly track key metrics to understand where your processes are breaking down and where improvements can be made.

Track metrics such as:

  • False positive ratio: What percentage of alerts are genuinely suspicious versus false alarms? Aim to gradually lower this number over time.
  • Alert handling time: How long does it take to investigate and close each case? Shorten investigation times by refining workflows and removing unnecessary steps.
  • Resource allocation: Measure the amount of time and effort spent on false positives. Are your resources being effectively deployed, or could technology be used to streamline efforts?

At a time where regulators are tightening their requirements in fighting financial crime, firms can no longer afford to be bogged down by false positives. By adopting a holistic approach that combines cutting-edge technology, improved processes, and human judgement, compliance leaders can improve their AML accuracy without compromising on safety. False positives may be a fact of life, but they don’t have to define your AML strategy.

In the end, the goal is to transform your AML function from a reactive cost centre into a proactive, intelligence-driven powerhouse – one that keeps your firm on the right side of regulation while preserving resources and protecting your reputation.

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